Height: 5-11 Weight: 200 lbs. We still dont know a whole lot after 200-600 NFL dropbacks. I found in a previous analysis that combining passing grade- and EPA-based Bayesian forecasts in roughly equal proportions can predict a quarterbacks EPA per dropback better than either alone. Daniel Jones draft, revisited: Why Giants QB is on the brink of being a big 2019 NFL Draft bust, Breaking down Daniel Jones' career turnover tendencies, NFL's coaching hot seat index after Week 1. All Rights Reserved. The Florida Gators product has reportedly crushed his interviews at the Combine (per The Pat McAfee Show). He had that rep coming out of college. Jones struggled more as a rookie in terms of efficiency, posting the third-lowest EPA per dropback (-0.12) of any quarterback with at least 200 dropbacks (35). Minshew will try to avoid being part of the unholy Jaguars trinity along with prior top-10 picks Blaine Gabbert and Blake Bortles, who occupy roughly the same spot on the plot. New head coach Ron Rivera offers stability, and a team source said Haskins spent significant time in the facility this offseason working out and communicating with coaches and players while rehabbing an ankle injury. Theres no Desmond Ridder on the Raiders roster. In the 2019 draft, three quarterbacks were selected in the first round: Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray at first overall, Daniel Jones at No. "If you asked me whether I preferred to play Cam, Andy Dalton or Gardner, I'd say Gardner," an NFL assistant coach said. Signing Carr would reunite the nine-year veteran with Dennis Allen, the head coach who selected the Fresno State product in the second round back in 2014 during his tenure with the Raiders. On Thursday, Schoen told NFL Network that things ramped up pretty quick with Jones new representation but also suggested that a contract agreement was not imminent. The Giants are confident that Daniel Jones will be their starting quarterback in 2023. Bills pass rusher Von Miller attended the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine this week in Indianapolis in hopes of jump-starting his plans for a second-career as a general manager. The Dallas Cowboys will place the franchise tag on running back Tony Pollard if the two sides cannot reach a long-term deal before March 7's deadline, NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport reported Friday, per sources. Few veteran quarterbacks would be a better fit for this team than Derek Carr. Minshew didnt perform particularly well in comparison to the rest of the league, but averaging roughly an even EPA per dropback is impressive for a rookie. Watch on ESPN+, "Early things coming out of that building probably messed with him a little bit, and he couldn't zero in on football," an AFC exec said. That was plan was ruined when Barkley struggled against the Steelers' mighty defense in Week 1 and went down with a season-ending torn ACL against the Bears in Week 2. I laid out a more detailed explanation about the methodology behind this analysis in a previous article when I applied it to the 2017 quarterback class. And several evaluators peg DeAndre Hopkins as the perfect player for Murray because he can work out of the slot or outside and is good on second reaction plays, ideal for a quarterback throwing on the move. 15. It is now being reported that the Giants have met with potential first-round pick Anthony Richardson at the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine this week (Jordan Schultz of The Score). "I'm willing to bring anything and everything that they need from me. Its unclear whether new Titans OC Tim Kelly can foster the same type of environment or whether Tennessee would require Jones to overcome its offensive deficiencies. In an ideal world, both work out and serve as the starting boundary cornerbacks for quite some time. When we run the same analysis using passing efficiency as measured by EPA Murray separates himself from the other rookies. There are always outliers who play poorly and then turn things around; there are also those who have record-breaking rookie seasons to flame out thereafter. Haskins had the second-best grade of the group (67.6). Players the Jaguars could target There was a total system breakdown again and Jones wasn't immune to the injury bug, either, given the burden onhim. It doesnt have to be that way. This class features some intriguing signal-callers, including a couple with boom-or-bust potential. He'll have arguably better support on the ground than he did in 2022 too, evidenced by Carolina's impressive 130 rushing yards per game last year. However, the landscape is a bit more troubling for Jones, Minshew and Haskins. If it did, we wouldnt have contract offers out to both of them. Things didn't get much better for Smith as a sophomore either, as New York won just three of his 13 starts. The Raiders are a tempting landing spot for any free-agent quarterback this offseason. He played college football at Jones also has been sacked 85 times, an average of more than three times per game. 6 and Dwayne Haskins at No. Smith's success with the Seahawks last year was unprecedented and he would be wise to stick with the squad that he broke out with after being written off for years. The season has come to an end for the New York Giants, but there are reasons to be excited about the future. Garoppolo appeared in 57 games for San Francisco, completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 13,599 yards and 82 touchdowns against 42 interceptions. "He does a lot of cool s--- with his arm," an NFC exec said. New league weeks start every Thursday with TNF kickoff. Now in his third year, it has been hard to decipher whether Joness flaws are definitive or if they are the result of other factors. If Garrett isn't the answer, the Giants need to make to change there, too, looking for one last offenisve spark for Jones. Hooker, 25, is coming off a season-ending ACL injury in 2022 but could be a potential second-round pick in this years draft. Kansas City Chiefs general manager Brett Veach acknowledged this week at the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine the work that needs to be done to get under the salary cap. Stat to know from ESPN Stats & Information: Murray had a 63.3 QBR inside the pocket, which ranked 10th in the NFL. If the Falcons want to start winning games regularly again in 2023, there's no better free-agent quarterback for the club than Garoppolo. Richardson is making headlines at the Scouting Combine this week, garnering interest from every corner of the league. But questions remain about his decision making, accuracy and overall polish at the game's most challenging position. 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. All rights reserved. The offensive line should be improved after it was ravaged by injury last year. And I started calling myself Cam Jackson in the 11th grade, just trying to make big plays.". On the flip side, Dwayne Haskins fizzled out fast in Washington and is looking to save his career as a backup in Pittsburgh. Garrett's plan was to go with the run-heavy offense he operated in Dallas with Ezekiel Elliott, only with Barkley as the new versatile workhorse. Draft a league now and start fresh with a 0-0 record and a shortened schedule. This includes the combine's marquee event, the 40-yard dash. Houston is coming off a brutal three-year stretch in which the team has won a mere 11 games while churning through four head coaches and trying multiple options out under center. Jones, who recently changed agencies from Creative Artists Agency to Athletes First, may be targeting a salary as high as $45 million per year. In his first year as head coach, Brian Daboll led New York to a 9-7-1 record and a playoff victory in the wild-card round despite fielding what most believed was a talent-deficient roster. Only five quarterbacks Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson, Kyler Murray, Deshaun Watson, and Patrick Mahomes have reached that annual salary. 6 pick overall in the 2019 NFL Draft, perform in 2021? After parting ways with Derek Carr, Vegas should consider a younger signal-caller with plenty left in the tank. PFF's exclusive metrics provide matchup previews, position rankings, grades, and snap counts. Jones offers a different skill set. Its too early to say that Haskins isnt going to be a success, but the Redskins should be looking at his performance closely this coming season. Tight end Evan Engram did help a second-year Jones as a security blanket after missing most of '19, but he's hurt again. This years QB tag is $32.4M, explaining The team already came to terms with a new head coach in Frank Reich and just needs a viable piece under center to start contending as early as next season. NFL and the NFL shield design are registered trademarks of the National Football League.The team names, logos and uniform designs are registered trademarks of the teams indicated. We are keeping Stidham out of the top five, with an asterisk, because he didn't play significant snaps last year and the arrival of Cam Newton muddles his outlook. With Brady retiring following a tough 2022 season, the Buccaneers find themselves in a strange position. But that's not the only former NFL MVP this prospect looks to emulate. As ESPN talked with more than 50 execs, coaches, scouts and players about the top players in the game, one question came up a few times unprompted from well-respected offensive minds and personnel guys: That question was more an interjection as I rattled off some of the top names: Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers, Deshaun Watson and more. Wideout Chris Olave is coming off a strong rookie year and Alvin Kamara is still one of the league's most dynamic running backs when healthy. Outside the pocket, Murray's QBR dropped to 25.2, a mark that ranked 21st. Like us on Facebook to see similar 1-caliber WR, revamp secondary - CBSSports.com NFL Draft Mock Drafts Prospect He's been a steady hand for the Raiders over the better part of the last decade and could revitalize his career in Carolina. The Raiders plan to place the franchise tag on running back Josh Jacobs if the sides cannot come to a deal on a long-term extension by Tuesday's deadline, NFL Network Insider Tom Pelissero reported Friday. Subscribe to Stathead , the set of tools used by the pros, to unearth this and other interesting factoids. New England has two years of a cheap rookie contract to find out what that buzz means. Anthony Richardson, Florida = Cam Newton: Both possess rare size and athleticism. "I get the move from a football standpoint, but I think they might have something in Stidham and Cam hasn't looked the same for a while. "I trained for everything, so I'm trying to showcase what I'm able to do.". He went a respectable 8-8 as a rookie, but displayed a propensity for turnovershe had 21 interceptions against 12 touchdownsand inaccurate throws, evidenced by his meager 55.8 percent completion rate. Stat to know from ESPN Stats & Information: While no defense is showing its schematic hand in the preseason, Stidham showed at least a glimmer of arm talent in his work last August. That last stat is significant. Jones $8.3 million cap charge ranks a reasonable No. While the roster has several holes to fill in free agency and through the draft, it does boast some of the NFL's most promising skill position players in tight end Kyle Pitts and wideout Drake London. Carr would allow the team to balance out the offense more and unlock the talents of DJ Moore and Terrace Marshall Jr. Carr may not want to go to a rebuilding team at the age of 31, however, and Carolina still has a lot of improvements to make outside the QB position after selling off established talents like Christian McCaffrey and Robbie Anderson last season. Last season was a mixed bag that saw Murray win offensive rookie of the year, but first-round picks Dwayne Haskins Jr. and Daniel Jones struggle on bad teams. But Jones still finished 18th in QBR at 53.6, and threw for 24 touchdown passes in 12 starts. 2 free agent for a reason: Hes a young quarterback with a first-round pedigree who experienced a great deal of success last season. You won't want to miss a moment of the 2022 season! 6 overall out of Duke. ", "Now, if this guy was 6-1, 210 pounds, he's a generational type quarterback, in my opinion," Spielman said. This might be the only chance for the Giants to see the real Jones. But that's also because the Giants know they are running out of time with Jones. With a crop of talented pass-catchers headlined by Devante Adams, there will be no shortage of weapons for Jackson to throw to if he winds up in Sin City. Previewing the 2023 college baseball season: Teams and players to watch, key storylines, Road to the men's Frozen Four: Conference tournaments at a glance, Top moments from Brady, Manning, Jordan and other athletes hosting 'Saturday Night Live', Dr. A's weekly risers and fallers: Jeremy Sochan, Christian Wood make the list. For now, Ryan Tannehill is still Tennessees projected starting quarterback. That poor performance drove Haskins forecast down lower than Jones. Always free! Our single-season grades, which dont account for draft position prior or dropback volume, had Minshew as the best rookie quarterback of the class (70.0). Alabama's Bryce Young is considered by many to be the top quarterback in this 2023 class, and former Minnesota Vikings general manager Rick Spielman compared him to the Super Bowl LVII MVP earlier this week on CBS Sports' new "With the First Pick" podcast. The main question is whether the Bucs want to try to keep the ship afloat with a proven signal-caller at the helm or tear things down and rebuild. Running back Leonard Fournette and receiver DJ Chark can be top-tier players for stretches of a season. Jones may not like Although the Titans could opt to utilize a draft selection, their options could be limited when they get on the clock at No. The team spent big free-agent capital on former Lions wide receiver Kenny Golladay and also used a first-round pick on Florida wide receiver Kadarius Toney, after missing out on Alabama's DeVonta Smith. Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. Below Ive plotted the year-end forecasts for passing grade and EPA per dropback for each of the 45 rookie quarterbacks with at least 200 dropbacks. Although Jackson's asking price is reportedly highESPN's Jeremy Fowler and Jamison Hensley noted the signal-caller is seeking a similar contract to the fully guaranteed five-year, $230 million one Deshaun Watson signed with the Cleveland Browns last yearit's a figure the Ravens should be willing to meet rather than risk the franchise struggling through lean years while trying to find another franchise quarterback. Stroud and Kentucky's Will Levis. "He has come a long way," one NFL defensive coach said. It also will be nice to have Barkley not limited coming back from his knee injuryand seeing closer to 25 touches a game vs.only a dozen. Minshew was slightly better than Murray this year in EPA per dropback, but Murrays forecast is higher due to his higher draft position and having 120 more dropbacks in his sample. "Growing up, it was always Cam Newton for me," Richardson acknowledged. The first-round of the 2019 NFL Draft has produced one superstar quarterback in Cardinals No. Hamilton says Mercedes a long way off pace, Ten Hag must learn from Mourinho to ensure Man United's Carabao Cup win is just the start, Betting tips for Week 26 English Premier League games and more, Transfer Talk: Bayern still keen on Kane despite new Choupo-Moting deal. The 2022 NFL season is in the books, and it's now time to turn our attention to draft season. While there is still a chance Davis Mills evolves into a serviceable starter, the second-year quarterback underwhelmed last season and will likely drive Houston to select a prized prospect near the top of the 2023 draft. The fates of the general manager and coach can often hinge on the success of a single selection. He did lose another fumble in Week 1, but he looked more comfortable and confident in what's around him and also used his legs well again for a second TD. There may not be a better option available, however. Spielman and host Ryan Wilson also handed out their comparisons for the other top quarterbacks in the class. At his end-of-season press conference in January, Giants general manager Joe Schoen all but admitted he would use the franchise tender on Jones if forced to choose. ", What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? Stat to know from ESPN Stats & Information: Lock posted a 94.3 QBR when facing a blitz last year, a number that ranked second in the NFL in 2019, behind only Derek Carr. The season has come to a close for most NFL teams, and now is the time of reflection and reassessment. 4 overall pick Andrew Thomas may be turning a corner in Year 2 to help at left tackle, he also wasn't there when Jones arrived. Here's a breakdown of his first three seasons in the NFL: MORE: Breaking down Daniel Jones' career turnover tendencies. Jones would be one of the more naturally talented quarterbacks McDaniels has had to work with. NFL execs rank the QBs in the 2019 draft class: Is Kyler the clear No. Working with first-year Giants head coach Brian Daboll and offensive coordinator Mike Kafka, Jones set career highs in completion rate (67.2 percent) and passing yards (3,205) while leading the NFL with a 1.1 percent interception rate. Here are the odds for Daniel Jones' being the Giants' 2022 starting QB. The team also showed it can run the ball under head coach Josh McDaniels, whose system helped Josh Jacobs win the 2022 rushing crown. Kyler Murray striving to be elite in 2nd season (2:39). Here's a 2023 NFL Draft projection for the NFC East squad: Darius Slayton has played out his rookie contract. The Falcons run a similar scheme under Smith to the one Kyle Shanahan used during Garoppolo's tenure with the 49ers. Schoen said New York had productive conversations with Jones and Barkleys representatives at the Scouting Combine this week, adding hed prefer not to use the tag on either player. Interior OL | Edge Geno Smith didn't pan out for the New York Jets the first time around, but he could be exactly what the franchise needs almost a decade later. While Carr isn't coming off his best season, he still managed to earn a Pro Bowl nod after completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 3,522 yards and 24 touchdowns. He finished out his first contract as the team's backup before making stops with the New York Giants, Los Angeles Chargers and Seattle Seahawks. One veteran NFL quarterback tried to call Jones "sneaky athletic," which was meant as a compliment, but his 4.81 40 time and a 33.5-inch vertical leap say he's simply athletic. Panthers impressed by Derek Carr visit With recent restructures to both Marcus Maye and Erik McCoy's contracts, the Saints have been steadily opening up cap room to ink Carr. However, they lack a No. Reich, a former NFL quarterback himself, is well known for coaching up his quarterbacks and could help Carr get his career back on track. 1 overall pick Kyler Murray. The only team with more cap space than the Falcons is the Bears, who are not in the market for a veteran quarterback. Pro Football Network strives to passionately deliver purposeful, captivating, and exceptional football content. Minshews rookie performance has dug his forecast out of a substantial draft-position hole, but he still trails the first-round picks who had lower passing grades as rookies. 6-keys: media/spln/nfl/reg/free/stories, at Evaluators weren't completely sold on Minshew's arm strength and athleticism, but they believe he can win games with his savvy. Anthony Richardson, Florida = Cam Newton: Both possess rare size and The team went toe-to-toe with the Cincinnati Bengals in the Wild Card Round despite missing Jackson and very well could have gone on a run had he been available. I think if you have the opportunity where you have a guy thats on a rookie deal, and hes your guy, and hes playing for you, and hes a guy you feel that you can win football games with, there is an element of capitalizing on that, especially with where quarterback salaries are going, and the guarantees and things like that, Raiders general manager Dave Ziegler told The Athletic in February. Draft Class: 2019: Dropbacks: While they haven't yet locked him up to a long-term deal, they would be remiss not to keep him under contract after honing his talent over the last four seasons. However, negotiations with Jones have been difficult, per reports, and the Giants are doing research on quarterback prospects at this weeks Scouting Combine, seemingly as a contingency plan. The Titans essentially gave up on Willis after he struggled in three starts, turning things over to journeyman Joshua Dobbs, who at least looked competent in two starts of his own. Jeremy Fowler polled a panel of more than 50 coaches, execs, scouts and players to come up with top-10 rankings for 2020: QB | RB | TE | WR | OT The team has managed to hover around .500 consistently in the Ron Rivera era despite a revolving door of ineffective veterans and backup quarterbacks under center. If Jackson desires to play for a contender, the Falcons would be the favorites in the NFC South as soon as he signed and would have a leg up on their divisional foes for the foreseeable future. 6 | 2019 QBR: 53.6 (18th) section: | slug: perfect-giants-2023-nfl-draft-plan-get-daniel-jones-or-another-qb-a-no-1-caliber-wr-revamp-secondary | sport: football | route: article_single_special | The Stidham train screeched abruptly to a halt with the signing of Cam Newton to a one-year, incentive-laden deal in New England. The New Orleans Saints have been one of Carr's most notable suitors since he was benched by the Raiders and left the team late in the 2022 campaign. He inexplicably led Seattle to a postseason berth after going a respectable 9-8 in his starts, a vast improvement over his 13-21 career record leading up to 2022. The Panthers accomplished that feat despite deploying a revolving door of subpar signal-callers. While Jones may be pricyhe reportedly wants $45 million a year on his new deal, per PFT's Mike Florioand may not ever become a Hall of Fame-caliber signal-caller, he's a dynamic player with scrambling abilities and creativity that allowed the team to overcome a lack of high-end wideouts. Pick: No. The only quarterbacks ahead of him were Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson, Deshaun Watson and Aaron Rodgers. Veteran Kyle Allen believes he's got a legitimate chance to start, but if Haskins improves his play like he improved his physique, he should have the inside track. "I'm still a bit surprised they signed [Newton]," one NFL personnel man said. San Francisco 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa believes if he and his brother Joey Bosa teamed up one day it would "break the NFL.". According to PFT's Peter King, the team "probably" isn't too interested in Carr either, but depending on how the rest of the free-agency dominos fall, he may make the most sense for the organization in the near-term. New York's interior offensive line needs to improve. These are the quarterbacks whom we may call successful. Highlighting the rookies who didnt end up as franchise QBs shows a significant bias towards the bottom-left of the plot. Bainivalu is a tall interior offensive lineman, but he has good upper body strength and blocks with good leverage relative to his size. 4 in both yards allowed and scoring just a season after finishing dead last in both categories. The line was subpar and his two elite players -- Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram -- battled injuries. 6 and Dwayne Haskins Unlock all tools and content including Player Grades, Fantasy, NFL Draft, Premium Stats, Greenline and DFS. Baker Mayfield is the latest quarterback to thrive as a rookie and dive in his sophomore season. He's able to make all the throws and still has enough mobility to extend plays and avoid the rush. A second-round pick is not guaranteed to succeed, so cornerback is one position New York could afford to be volume shooters in this draft class. Ja'Wuan James' opt-out forces Elijah Wilkinson into action, and the Broncos declined the fifth-year option of left tackle Garett Bolles, which isn't a great sign for a player at a premium position. Pro Football Network, LLC. Even after benching Wilson and replacing him with Mike White, the Jets couldn't find a way to consistently manufacture yardage and scores after prized rookie back Breece Hall tore his ACL. Barring an unforeseen turn of events, that looks like the most likely outcome. Jones, who recently changed agencies from Creative Artists Agency to Athletes First, may be targeting a salary as high as $45 million per year. Isn't the sexy pick to win starting jobs, but keeps winning them.". Pick: No. Spielman and host Ryan Wilson also handed out their comparisons for the other top quarterbacks in the class. 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